1. Hillary Clinton has won the states that it takes to win a Presidential Election. Her election strategy is a proper strategy if it is important to count every vote and win the White House.
2. Sen. Clinton has negatives that are already known and expected while Sen. Obama has negatives yet to be tested.
3. The voters did not give the Superdelegates any cover to come out and support Hillary Clinton. This is a phrase that many political strategist are using to explain that the Superdelegates wanted Obama to lose North Carolina in order to justify their vote based on the belief that Sen. Obama is not capable of winning the General Election. The problem is that Sen. Obama did not give the Superdelegates any cover either by losing Indiana after suggesting that the state was a “tie-breaker.”
4. If it is a negative that Hillary Clinton did not win-over the black vote in North Carolina then it is a negative that Obama is hemorrhaging white votes.
5. It is a positive that Sen. Clinton has the support of middle-class America which are the same votes the GOP is after.
6. It is a negative that many Clinton voters do not want to support Sen. Obama in the event he wins the party nomination. This is not an issue that Sen. Clinton can control but can only help quell a little.
7. The Superdelegates are concerned about the tensions growing within Florida and Michigan voters. If Sen. Obama and Clinton were playing a board game then I would agree with not counting the votes of the individuals that came out to vote in both states. Since we are talking about people it is imprudent to fail and take into consideration that people may choose to punish the party out of spite and use their vote for revenge or not vote at all. Sen. Clinton may implore her supporters for unity but there is no assurance that they will forgive as easily as she can; remember Reagan Democrats are fiscally and security oriented.
8. Giving Hillary Clinton the nomination means the party takes less of a risk of losing any base support as suggested by the recent exit polls which points out that Obama supporters are willing to vote for Hillary more so than Clinton voters are williong to vote for Sen. Obama.
9. West Virginia (is this not cover?) If Hillary Clinton wins West Virginia then the Superdelegates have the cover they need to justify their vote for supporting Sen. Clinton based on their belief that Senator Obama can not win the general election considering his hemorrhaging of Reagan Democrats, white males, voters earning under 50k a year, women, independents, swing voters, etc.
10. Obama bases his appeal to the Superdelegates on the hope that he can win Florida, Colorado, Ohio and Michigan for an Electoral College victory, but he lost all four states.
11. It is very difficult to ask the people from Florida and Michigan for their support after not wanting their votes to count in the first place. Florida, Ohio or Michigan have to turn "blue" for the Democrats to win the White House, and that's our goal.
12. It is horrible to say that Hillary Clinton is “waiting for something horrible to happen to Barack Obama” which is what strategist are suggesting about Sen. Clinton. Sen. Clinton wants to win just like Sen. Obama, and does not want something horrible to happen to him anymore than he wants something horrible to happen to her. The only thing Hillary Clinton needs to happen is for the DNC to do the right thing and count the popular votes of Florida and Michigan and seat the delegates.
13. The idea of an Obama/Clinton ticket is not possible, according to many Obama supporters, while Hillary voters seem to enjoy this idea.
14. Hillary Clinton has a record of working across party lines and Sen. Obama does not.
15. If Hillary wins the upcoming primaries, it is ridiculous to deny the momentum she would have created. Too abruptly stop and then ask the voters to reactivate in support of the "real nominee" or Sen. Obama is a bit naive.
The magic number is somewhere above 270 which is part of the Electoral College process. Hillary Clinton will deliver. Sen. Obama can win but it is uncertain as to how much he can get done becaause of his short record on the Capital Hill.
Hillary Clinton does not want her supporters to abandon Sen. Obama if the Superdelegates decide he is the best candidate to win the White House. Earlier today she said “If you voted for either one of us then you did not vote for ending the war in Iraq, Healthcare…”
Rafael Buelna
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